What to Expect in 2013?

Still-life with mouse and candle by Willem van Aelst

First, our prayers and thoughts go to the family and friends of the young lady, victim of a gang rape in India, who disincarnated last Saturday. One sees the soul of a People when a whole country cancels New Year's celebrations to mourn a fellow-citizen, and reflect upon what they want for their nation and how things should be. The Indian people decided that from 2013 onwards things will be different; so to them we say: go get them, Tiger.

Happy 2013!

So, what can we expect this year?

After reading about Chancellor Merkel's New Year Message, I'd say we can expect a more politically confused Europe. I do agree with her when she says that the Eurozone debt crisis is far from being over (because, truth be told, the French...PIGS do not have the fiscal or structural discipline to quickly solve this situation; moreover, they lack political imagination. Until they get their act together, they will drag other eurozone nations down with them, because the speculators are re-sinking their teeth on the Euro-porchetta).
It would be nice if the UK government would pay close attention to its welfare policy. My eyes and ears, in the Portuguese African community, told me that the word now is: go to England, make a baby, give birth there and you will have a house, plus benefits. There are Brazilians, in Portugal, who are also hearing this and going to the UK to try their luck. Given the fact that the United Kingdom's public spending is ruled by the welfare state (see Here), I would say that tipping the British Government is the right thing to do (N.B: this one is for free, PM Cameron).

The US, despite the fiscal cliff show, should start its journey towards the reconquest of its hegemony. America outwitted and outdid Europe, in several aspects, during these past 4 years - because its eyes and mind are set on the right places - and is getting ready to reap more positive crops. From what the US is showing, again despite the internal bickering, it could be said that it is learning from past mistakes. By the way, I think the decision to deploy soldiers in 35 African nations, this year, was smart.

The Middle-East won't see peace in 2013. Syria, after al-Assad falls, will probably go through a terrible phase of reconstruction (which is a natural process after any revolution) with some serious power struggles: groups like al-Nusra will confront secular groups and try to convince the Syrian people that Islamism is the solution for all their troubles (i.e. they will exercise the Da'wa to buy votes).
Iran will elect a new president and, since none of the candidates is showing signs of change, it will suffer the consequences of its political and nuclear stubbornness.
Palestine will remain a stateless "state" due to lack of leadership and foreign (i.e. Iran) interference in its affairs. Nevertheless, Hamas will outsmart Fatah and represent a true political menace to the pseudo-secular party. Things are about to get more interesting.
Jordan's royal sovereignty is under threat. King Abdullah II should take heed although I understand the intricacies behind his reign. Forging the proper alliances, without fear of the Arab reprisal would be advantageous, but does the King and his court have the courage to do it? The King should also consider verifying whether his Palace requires a clean up...

2013 will be an interesting year and I am looking forward to this year's blogging experience. The Maxiavelli Series will be extended; the Middle East will continue to be our hot spot; the West remains our first love; Africa will have our attention and we intend to meet a new friend: Asia.

Welcome to the 2013 version of +MAX: Dissecting Society !

Comments

  1. I look forward to the attention on Asia but to get you started, I think that you should read this post and all the comments therein. http://www.3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdaily/2012/12/the-state-withers-away-in-pakistan-.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+3quarksdaily+%283quarksdaily%29

    In the worst case scenario, India is likely to get affected a great deal about which I have written enough.

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    1. Hi Rummy :D!

      I told you I was working on it and now we are ready to tackle Asia ;).
      Thanks for the link: I will read it attentively *bowing*.

      "In the worst case scenario, India is likely to get affected a great deal about which I have written enough."

      I will be surfing around your blog as well to read your thoughts on this matter.

      Rummy, thank you ever so much for your first comment of the year :D.

      Happy New Year!

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  2. Watch out Max, if your predictions come true, people will be knocking on your door wanting you to tell their future. :) Happy new year to you! I've enjoyed getting to know you via blogging, and I look forward to what you have to say this coming year. :)

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    1. Hi D! :D

      "Watch out Max, if your predictions come true, people will be knocking on your door wanting you to tell their future. :)"

      LOL LOL LOL that was a good one!

      "Happy new year to you! I've enjoyed getting to know you via blogging, and I look forward to what you have to say this coming year. :) "

      Happy New Year, darling! Ah, the feeling is extremely mutual, D; and I too am looking forward to sharing this blogging year with you *bowing*.

      D, thank you so much for your first comment of the year :D.

      Happy 2013!

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  3. Happy New Year, Max! You kicked 2013 off in a very audacious way: I like itttt!! Will digest the words slowly and wait to see if any of this will come true; if yes...girl, I want you to read my future! Anyway, can't wait to see what you will bring us this year!

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    1. Hi Ana :D!

      lol I am glad you liked it *bowing*. LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL I will not read your future (I wouldn't know how) *nodding*.

      Thanks and I can't wait to hear your thoughts this year :D.

      Happy New Year, darling!

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  4. Wish you a very Happy New year 2013. May God Bless you with all the happiness in the world !

    Love
    Sabi Sunshine

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    1. Hi Sabi :D!

      Thank you ever so much, my darling: God Bless you!
      Your presence lit the place :D.

      Happy New Year!

      Delete
  5. Happy new year, lass! It has been lovely to read your insights on several issues and I am really looking forward to see what you'll come up with this year. What your eyes and ears in the African and Brazilian community told you about England is frightening! I didn't know that this was the word in Portugal. The Tories should definitely do something about it; we can't have it, now can we?

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    1. Hi Joe :D!

      Thank you so much; I am also looking forward to hearing your thoughts this year *bowing*.
      It is rather frightening, isn't it? I heard that PM Cameron is going to reform the benefits policy though, which is good.
      Let the new phase begin :D.

      Thanks and Happy New Year, Joe!

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  6. Olá Max,

    Happy New Year! I am totally ready to read your 2013 posts.
    This is a promising year and many goodies are in the air already (read: I am counting on you to tackle them). Israel is the nation to follow and I hope to read more about it here at your place ;-). Here's to a brilliant year.

    Tchau

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    1. Olá Celeste :D!

      I am so glad you are ready to read our posts this year *bowing*.
      LOL LOL well, do like Rummy: he made suggestions for this year. As readers, you guys have that prerogative. :)
      I see. You do not think we cover Israel enough? Anyway, we will try to indulge you :D.

      "Here's to a brilliant year."

      Hear, Hear!

      Thank you, Celeste; and Happy New Year!

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  7. Max, Happy New Year!

    Yes, the chaos will continue, so I suppose I will just give thanks to God for the good things He has sent my way. Do keep up the with the informative posts!

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    1. Hi Looney :D!

      Amen!
      Thanks, I will *bowing*.

      Happy New Year, Looney :D!

      Delete
  8. Starting of with wishing you the very best of the new year to you, I guess we all begin a new year with new hopes, new optimism and new dreams where we all hope peace and sensibility reigns in the minds of the powers that be in the smallest corners of this earth. Somewhere I feel we must be thankful to that unknown who have created this earth and filled it up with the bounties and to enjoy and respect in all that is bestowed in each of us and then perhaps some sense and reason will return because without fighting for the petty resources, if we can fully enjoy the little we each one of us have instead of just splurging, then I guess from somewhere we can see a ray of hope for millions who live in fear, hunger and in their own little joys.

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    1. Hi Kalyan :D!

      Thank you so much, my dear friend *bowing*.
      We all begin with new hopes and optimism but in a month it might all end lol.
      It would be wonderful if this year would herald that period of speak of...but not yet. 2013 will still be chaotic; but hey, after chaos comes harmony. So let's try to survive this period.

      Thank you, K; and Happy New Year! :D

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