Sanctions against Iran are Not Working



“Sanctioned countries generally establish backchannels to receive food, fuel and other necessities. Iran’s economy is reportedly suffering because of pressures from the West, but the country hardly needs secret channels to sustain a flow of essential goods. Russia, China and others maintain very pubic, commercial relations despite American protestation.” (Leonard A. Cole, in Homeland Security News Wire)

Sanctions against Iran are not working: they have not led to a change of Iranian policy and have not stopped the advancement of its nuclear programme.
As Leonard Cole put it, Iran has found ways to circumvent sanctions by keeping society with Russia, China and other nations; that, in my opinion, sell Iranian oil (as its own) and raise funds for its beloved projects.

According to Ely Karmon, Iran has been consolidating the Islamic Republic’s strategy for Africa and for that President Ahmadinejad “has agreed to provide African nations with essential resources to facilitate their development and progress”.
The development and progress of African nations, however, is not quite what Iran has in mind when it cements a relationship with the sub-Saharan Africa – Iran mainly seeks to finance its nuclear programme (by acquiring strategic resources like uranium). For example: Zimbabwe is wealthy in uranium reserves and, she passes it on to Iran in exchange of funds, technical knowledge (from technicians most probably educated in Latin-American countries, including Brazil, with whom Iran keeps good political and commercial ties) and equipment required to extract uranium ore.

Iran has also found ways to trade its oil production despite sanctions. Reports suggest that Iran sells oil to Nigeria but, it shouldn’t be discarded the theory that Nigeria sells Iranian oil as if it were its own; as probably do Iraq and Saudi Arabia (as part of the backchannel established to circumvent penalties).

In the past decade, over $20Bn in international aid have been donated to Palestine with the goal of “combating, neutralising and preventing terrorism against Israel from the Islamist group Hamas (..); creating a virtuous cycle of stability and prosperity in the West Bank that inclines Palestinians (…) toward peaceful coexistence with Israel and prepares them for self-governance; and meeting humanitarian needs and preventing further destabilization, particularly in the Gaza Strip.” These goals have utterly failed.
On April 27/2011; Fatah and Hamas signed a unity agreement. On January 23/2012; the US and the EU toughened the sanctions against Iran by blocking its access to the world financial system. On February 12, Hamas visits Iran and Fatah visits Qatar. On February 28, Hamas moves its H.Q. to Qatar. From March 9-29, Gaza launched over 300 grad missiles, qassam rockets and mortar shells attacks on Israel. Meanwhile, on March 20, Fatah (in a disinformation tactic) denounces Iran for having paid Hamas to block a unity deal (to prove its distance from Iran). On March 22, Fatah urges international donors to “channel the promised funds immediately”. [N.B: from February 13 to March 19, while all the above was going on, terror attacks with the Iranian stamp were being carried out in India, Georgia, Thailand and France (Toulouse)]
There are no coincidences and, as such, the concatenation of these events seem to suggest that Fatah has always been in bed with (Hamas and) Iran; and that international donors, through Palestine, have been (and still are) funding Iranian terrorist projects or even contributing for the enhancement of its nuclear programme.

Sanctions are not hindering Iranian ambitions; and war is exactly what Iran wants. So, what are the options? 

Comments

  1. I don't hold a candle for the current dispensation in Iran. I have refugee friends from there. http://rummuser.com/?p=4445 and am aware of some insiders' problems there.

    Geo politics however, is funny business Max. Take India for instance, Iran is a major supplier of our oil. We also have centuries old trade and people connections. Thousands of Iranians study in Indian universities. Iran is a major pilgrimage center for our sizeable Shia Muslim population.

    We can't turn our taps off just because Uncle Sam wants us. Assume we are willing to, will the US give us the same quantity at the same prices and guarantee supplies? In any case, among the few diplomatic successes that I can praise the Indian establishment about, the recent visit, more or less simultaneous, of Hilary Clinton and an Iranian trade delegation was handled with great panache and all sides were happy. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18069173

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    1. Hi Rummy :D!

      "I don't hold a candle for the current dispensation in Iran. I have refugee friends from there. http://rummuser.com/?p=4445 and am aware of some insiders' problems there."

      Thanks for sharing this link - I highly recommend it.
      Did Mohsen Khatami convert to Osho's teachings? You know that Islam doesn't view with good eyes when Muslims convert to other faiths/philosophies of life. And I can imagine the religious people thinking that perhaps Mohsen wanted to proselytise Iranians - a sin against Islam - as if sharing/acquiring knowledge were ever a sin...*nodding*.
      Stories like Mohsen's only reflect the amount of fear taking over the Islamic Republic (and perhaps that same fear is what will bring the theocracy down).

      "Geo politics however, is funny business Max."

      Indeed, it is...but again, what isn't?

      "Take India for instance, Iran is a major supplier of our oil. We also have centuries old trade and people connections. Thousands of Iranians study in Indian universities. Iran is a major pilgrimage center for our sizeable Shia Muslim population."

      Yes, I am aware of it...

      "We can't turn our taps off just because Uncle Sam wants us."

      I don't even think that Uncle Sam wants that (after all he asked for a decrease in trading, not a full halt in trade), because he knows well the political and commercial implications.

      "Assume we are willing to, will the US give us the same quantity at the same prices and guarantee supplies?"

      Given the geographic position of both countries, it wouldn't be possible for the US to offer you the same prices. As for quantity and guarantee supplies: It would depend...

      "In any case, among the few diplomatic successes that I can praise the Indian establishment about, the recent visit, more or less simultaneous, of Hilary Clinton and an Iranian trade delegation was handled with great panache and all sides were happy."

      That's what diplomacy is all about, isn't it?
      The US doesn't want to suffocate India (nor any other country trading with Iran) however, it does want to be sure where India stands diplomatically speaking (because, let's face it: so far, she has been a bit ambiguous).

      Rummy, I absolutely adored your comment: thank you so so much for this gift :D.

      Cheers

      Delete
  2. Excellent topic, Max!
    Many African countries trade with Iran, specially those who are rich in uranium for obvious reasons. But let's speak of Namibia; isn't it curious that it trades with Iran? And I would like to know what is behind the Iranian Islamicisation of Africa and if Iran is behind the recent troubles in Mali...

    There should be a system for us to "like" comments; cause I really liked Rummuser's comment.

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    1. Hi Joe :D!

      "Excellent topic, Max!"

      Thank you, man *bowing*.

      "Many African countries trade with Iran, specially those who are rich in uranium for obvious reasons. But let's speak of Namibia; isn't it curious that it trades with Iran?"

      The Namibian FM (Utoni Mujoma) said "Iran’s resistance in acquiring peaceful nuclear technology despite all pressures was praiseworthy… and [the two countries] must find ways to make plans on expansion of bilateral ties operational."
      Iran is playing with the African anti-Western feelings and unfortunately some African nations are falling for it. But many others are not.
      But what is the correlation that you make of this alliance?

      "And I would like to know what is behind the Iranian Islamicisation of Africa and if Iran is behind the recent troubles in Mali..."

      Well, it is known that fanatic Muslims brew Islamising the whole world and Africa (where anti-West sentiments still prevail in many nations) is a good place to start.
      Mali is Sufi (mystical Islam), meaning that it is not well viewed by fanatic Islam. Would its citizens be willing to turn their carefree version of Islam (which respect all religions) into a more strict and restrictive version of Islam?

      "There should be a system for us to "like" comments; cause I really liked Rummuser's comment."

      Right? I am going to make that suggestion to Blogger. Yes, I loved it too!

      Joe, thank you ever so much for your fab comment :D.

      Cheers

      Delete
  3. Hi Max,

    Necessity is the mother of invention. I wish I knew the options, but it looks like Iran is keeping it's options open by fraternizing with whoever proliferates their agenda. And that's only what we know. What about the secret pacts, underhand deals, hush money, etc. that has already changed hands?

    Like you said, "There are no coincidences…"

    Excellent piece once again my dear.

    You are a political marvel.

    Marvel Cheers!

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    1. Hi Lady A :D

      "Necessity is the mother of invention."

      Indeed...

      "I wish I knew the options, but it looks like Iran is keeping it's options open by fraternizing with whoever proliferates their agenda. And that's only what we know. What about the secret pacts, underhand deals, hush money, etc. that has already changed hands?"

      You know it, girl! ^5
      I didn't want to bore my readers, but the things I read about Hezbollah taking care of the Iranian business in Africa and Latin-America, and helping the Islamic Republic to finance itself...*nodding*. Once Iran helped this sort of organisations, now I guess it is retribution time.

      "Excellent piece once again my dear. You are a political marvel."

      Thank you so much *bowing*. Aah, you are kind: obrigada!

      Lady A, thanks a million times for your much appreciated input :D.

      You're Generous Cheers

      Delete
  4. Goodluck Jonathan selling Iranian oil on behalf of Iran? Maybe this could be true with president Yar'Adua; but with Jonathan? J'en pense pas...
    I thought Saudi Arabia was Iran's foe: how could it propose itself to sell its foes oil?

    “combating, neutralising and preventing terrorism against Israel from the Islamist group Hamas (..); creating a virtuous cycle of stability and prosperity in the West Bank that inclines Palestinians (…) toward peaceful coexistence with Israel and prepares them for self-governance; and meeting humanitarian needs and preventing further destabilization, particularly in the Gaza Strip."

    This will never happen, so why keep sending them money? The stench of political interests is getting to my nose. I bet the international donors give Palestine money en espérant que les palestiniens spy for them but then their plan blows up on their faces.

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    1. Hi Louis :D!

      "Goodluck Jonathan selling Iranian oil on behalf of Iran? Maybe this could be true with president Yar'Adua; but with Jonathan? J'en pense pas..."

      The only thing I can tell you, Louis, is: if proven, President Jonathan would be a disappointment. But we can't discard the hypothesis.

      "I thought Saudi Arabia was Iran's foe: how could it propose itself to sell its foes oil?"

      Saudi Arabia pretends to be Iran's foe.

      "This will never happen, so why keep sending them money? The stench of political interests is getting to my nose. I bet the international donors give Palestine money en espérant que les palestiniens spy for them but then their plan blows up on their faces."

      You raise a good point. Trés bien!

      Louis, thank you ever so much for your stupendous comment :D.

      Cheers

      Delete
  5. Olá Max,

    Grave, grave, grave, grave, grave, grave....

    I apologise for this autistic moment, but this word is the only one that came to mind as I read this article.
    Where to start? First, I didn't know that Iran was this deep in Africa; apparently I haven't been reading enough about this. Second, Nigeria Iraq and Saudi Arabia selling Iranian oil as their own is a very good plan; do you reckon Iran to be that smart?
    Third, I am not surprised at all at the Palestinians: they receive billions of dollars and they don't use them to develop their future state; they do not promote peace with Israel; the politicians make a killing with it but still, not all the money goes to them and if it doesn't go to build infrastructures then it is being channelled somewhere (hmmm, Iran seems to be a good guess).

    I agree with Alexys: excellent piece!

    Tchau

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    1. Celeste, don't be unfair: the Palestinians invested $52,000 in educating their youth regarding garbage treatment.

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    2. Olá Celeste :D!

      "Grave, grave, grave, grave, grave, grave...."

      I hear you.

      "I apologise for this autistic moment, but this word is the only one that came to mind as I read this article."

      LOL it's ok.

      "Second, Nigeria Iraq and Saudi Arabia selling Iranian oil as their own is a very good plan; do you reckon Iran to be that smart?"

      Let's say that I finally realised why they say Iran is so rational.

      "Third, I am not surprised at all at the Palestinians: they receive billions of dollars and they don't use them to develop their future state; they do not promote peace with Israel; the politicians make a killing with it but still, not all the money goes to them and if it doesn't go to build infrastructures then it is being channelled somewhere (hmmm, Iran seems to be a good guess)."

      You know it.

      "I agree with Alexys: excellent piece!"

      Thank you, darling *bowing*.

      Celeste, thank you so much for your fab comment :D.

      Cheers

      Delete
  6. Max, I am seeing that eventually Iran will have to be targeted. The question is, by whom? I agree that the sanctions are not working exactly because Ahmadinejad and his cronies have found ways (clever ones, I must add) to keep coming up with funds to feed their nuclear and terroistr projects. I am surprised that African nations would fall for anti-west rhetoric because I frankly expected better from them, but this only shows us that if Europeans are smart enough soon we willl hear from Africans anti-Iran and anti-China rhetoric while opening their arms to Europe and, perhaps, America.
    I have no doubt that Palestinians channel donor money to Iran. And I have no doubt that Saudi Arabia is a great actor (it should in Hollywood).

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    1. Hi Ana :D!

      "I am seeing that eventually Iran will have to be targeted. The question is, by whom?"

      You do? Ah, that is the million dollar question...

      "I am surprised that African nations would fall for anti-west rhetoric because I frankly expected better from them, but this only shows us that if Europeans are smart enough soon we willl hear from Africans anti-Iran and anti-China rhetoric while opening their arms to Europe and, perhaps, America."

      It is pitiful, indeed, that they are still at it. And of course, there is always someone willing to take advantage of it.
      Hey, you gave a very good idea here...

      "I have no doubt that Palestinians channel donor money to Iran. And I have no doubt that Saudi Arabia is a great actor (it should in Hollywood)."

      *nodding in agreement*. LOL LOL Hollywood, eh?

      Ana, thank you ever so much for your great comment :D.

      Cheers

      Delete
  7. As the saying goes, "Countries don't have friends, they have interests." And a lot of people aren't patriots, putting the long term interests of their countries above their own. So what else is new? (Sorry about the cynicism.)

    If I had to bet it would be that Israel attacks Iran. Hope I'm wrong.

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    1. Hi Jean :D!

      "As the saying goes, "Countries don't have friends, they have interests." And a lot of people aren't patriots, putting the long term interests of their countries above their own. So what else is new? (Sorry about the cynicism.)"

      No need to apologise, you are right. Unfortunately there patriotism seems to be a rare gem these days *nodding*.

      "If I had to bet it would be that Israel attacks Iran. Hope I'm wrong."

      Thanks for placing the bet ;)...
      We will have to wait and see, right?

      Jean, thank you ever so much for your great comment :D.

      Cheers

      Delete
  8. Hey Max! Hope you're doing well sweetie. Everyone here are doing great, thank you! a little busy though because I'm helping my daughter take care of her twins. :)

    Take care sweetie!

    Kisses and hugs.

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    1. Hey Liza :D!

      "Hope you're doing well sweetie. Everyone here are doing great, thank you! a little busy though because I'm helping my daughter take care of her twins. :)"

      Everything is peachy on this corner of the world, thanks. Awww, that is music to my ears, darling :). You do well, dear; you do well.

      Liza, thank you so much for having dropped by and take care.

      Cheers and hugs

      Delete
  9. Well, I guess till the big fishes in the sea remain divided and fight with each other, the small fishes will have a field day and do whatever they wish and even better if one shark is their guarding the small fish territory, its not easy for other sharks to trespass and that's what believe is happening with so many countries and not just Iran. And I feel its a little natural, maybe some countries has acquired nuclear technology than the other, but I believe ultimately nobody will use it, as this has now become more of a psychological tool to ward off hostile countries. And today US probably doesn't have the same might, it had a decade ago, and so its immediate competitors have managed to spread their tentacles to countries whom US is not so friendly with. I believe the solution is in all the big sharks coming together to put a new world order and create injunctions, which the small fishes cannot bypass, but then I guess coming together of the sharks is more than a day and a night dream combined.

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    1. Hi Kalyan :D!

      lol I loved the fish and shark analogy (we use it a lot in Portugal as well).

      "And I feel its a little natural, maybe some countries has acquired nuclear technology than the other, but I believe ultimately nobody will use it, as this has now become more of a psychological tool to ward off hostile countries."

      I appreciate your positiveness *bowing*.

      "And today US probably doesn't have the same might, it had a decade ago, and so its immediate competitors have managed to spread their tentacles to countries whom US is not so friendly with."

      Appearances deceive, my friend.

      "I believe the solution is in all the big sharks coming together to put a new world order and create injunctions, which the small fishes cannot bypass, but then I guess coming together of the sharks is more than a day and a night dream combined."

      I hear you!

      Kalyan, a superb comment for which I thank you immensely :D.

      Cheers

      Delete

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